Sunday, September 8, 2019
On the debates pertaining to inference of an effect from its cause Essay
On the debates pertaining to inference of an effect from its cause - Essay Example 172). Taking off from Hume, John Stuart Mill ââ¬Å"held that causal inference depends on three factors: first, the cause has to precede the effects; second, the cause and effect have to be related ; and third, other explanations of the cause-effect relationship have to be eliminatedâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 182). In other words, the notion of causation and effect that can be found in the ideas of John Stuart Mill is that causation requires precedence of the cause from the effect, correlation, and that rival hypotheses are ruled out. For Cook and Campbell (1979), however, the most significant contribution of John Stuart Mill to the theory of causality pertains to his notions of the criteria, principles, or ââ¬Å"methodsâ⬠of agreement, differences, and concomitant variation. The principle of agreement ââ¬Å"states that an effect will be present when the cause is presentâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 182). The principle of difference ââ¬Å"states that the effect will be absent when the cause is absentâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 182). Finally, the principle of concomitant variation ââ¬Å"implies that when both of the above relationships are observed, causal inferences will be all stronger since certain other interpretations of the co-variation between the cause effects can be ruled outâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 182). According to Cook and Campbell (1979, p. ... 183) pointed out that ââ¬Å"the concept of a control group is implicit here and is clearly central in Millââ¬â¢s thinking about cause.â⬠In 1913, Bertrand Russell ââ¬Å"looked to physics and astronomy of his day as the most mature sciences, and he noted their lack of concern with unobservables and explicitness and parsimony of the functional relationships that physicists sought to testâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 172-173).1 However, Russell had asked that asked whether the concept of cause continues to be relevant given that cause ââ¬Å"is not implied by functional relationships of mathematical formâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 173). The Russell viewpoint is positivist ââ¬Å"rejecting unobservables (like cause), and seeking to establish explicit functional laws between continuously measured variables in a closed systemâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 173). Positivists like Russell believe that ââ¬Å"causation is unnecessary because it is unobservableâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 175). The essentialist viewpoint ââ¬Å"argue that the term cause should only be used to refer to variables that explain a phenomenon in the sense that these variables, when taken together, are both necessary and sufficient for the effect to occurâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 177). The essentialists ââ¬Å"equates cause with a constellation of variables that necessarily, inevitably and infallibly results in the effectâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 177). In contrast, those ââ¬Å"who restrict cause to observable necessary and sufficient conditions (or sufficient conditions that operate when all the necessary conditions are met) reject as causes those factors which are known to bring about effects sometimes, but not alwaysâ⬠(Cook and Campbell 1979, p. 177).
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